Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-12-01 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

VAN: 37.2%

FLA: 62.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.86

FLA: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	32	27	5	84.4%	3.79	2	-1.21
FLA	Spencer Knight	33	32	1	97.0%	2.00	0	1.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VAN at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	VAN 5 - 2 FLA	VAN	FLA
2025-11-17	FLA 8 - 5 VAN	FLA	FLA
2024-12-12	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	VAN
2024-10-17	FLA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2023-12-14	VAN 4 - 0 FLA	VAN	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	0	0.35
1	FLA	22	0	1.48
2	VAN	12	0	0.64
2	FLA	15	2	1.75
3	VAN	20	0	1.01
3	FLA	8	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.6