Washington Capitals at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-12-01 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Washington Capitals (OT)

Win Probability

SEA: 54.1%

WSH: 45.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.43

WSH: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

WSH

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	23	21	2	91.3%	2.72	1	0.72
WSH	D. Kuemper	25	22	3	88.0%	2.00	0	-1.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SEA at home vs WSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	SEA 5 - 1 WSH	SEA	WSH
2025-10-21	WSH 4 - 1 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-03-09	WSH 4 - 2 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-01-23	SEA 0 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-03-14	SEA 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.65
1	WSH	10	0	0.70
2	SEA	13	0	0.61
2	WSH	10	1	0.77
3	SEA	15	0	0.58
3	WSH	15	0	1.25
4	SEA	1	0	0.15
4	WSH	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0