Arizona Coyotes at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2022-12-01 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

LAK: 54.4%

ARI: 45.6%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.62

ARI: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

LAK

J. Quick

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	21	18	3	85.7%	2.34	2	-0.66
ARI	K. Vejmelka	32	27	5	84.4%	3.61	1	-1.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • LAK at home vs ARI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-11-20	ARI 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-27	ARI 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-24	LAK 6 - 3 ARI	LAK	LAK
2023-02-18	LAK 6 - 5 ARI	LAK	ARI
2022-12-23	ARI 2 - 1 LAK	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	19	0	1.46
1	ARI	11	0	0.63
2	LAK	13	0	1.07
2	ARI	12	2	1.29
3	LAK	8	1	1.08
3	ARI	9	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7