Nashville Predators at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-12-02 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 59.9%

NSH: 40.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.16

NSH: 2.80

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

NSH

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	23	19	4	82.6%	3.04	3	-0.96
NSH	K. Lankinen	49	48	1	98.0%	3.42	1	2.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	NYI 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2026-01-08	NSH 2 - 1 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-04-08	NSH 7 - 6 NYI	NSH	NSH
2025-03-01	NYI 7 - 4 NSH	NYI	NSH
2024-04-06	NYI 2 - 0 NSH	NYI	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	13	0	0.70
1	NSH	12	1	0.82
2	NYI	22	0	1.22
2	NSH	13	0	0.55
3	NYI	25	1	1.50
3	NSH	8	2	1.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 4 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8