Columbus Blue Jackets at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-12-02 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 63.6%

CBJ: 36.4%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.52

CBJ: 2.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 53%

WPG

D. Rittich

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	D. Rittich	26	22	4	84.6%	4.77	6	0.77
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	38	37	1	97.4%	4.13	2	3.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs CBJ: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	CBJ 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	CBJ
2025-11-18	WPG 5 - 2 CBJ	WPG	WPG
2024-12-08	WPG 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-11-01	CBJ 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-17	CBJ 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	18	0	0.87
1	CBJ	15	1	0.83
2	WPG	22	0	1.55
2	CBJ	13	0	0.97
3	WPG	20	2	1.71
3	CBJ	13	5	2.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7