Anaheim Ducks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-12-03 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 4 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

Win Probability

MIN: 64.6%

ANA: 35.4%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.91

ANA: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	36	31	5	86.1%	4.22	5	-0.78
ANA	John Gibson	52	46	6	88.5%	6.31	4	0.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs ANA: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	2	1.21
1	ANA	16	0	0.81
2	MIN	22	0	1.23
2	ANA	12	0	0.54
3	MIN	24	0	1.77
3	ANA	11	2	1.04
4	MIN	2	0	0.23
4	ANA	4	2	0.76
5	MIN	3	2	1.87
5	ANA	3	1	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.9