Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-12-03 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

DET: 44.6%

VGK: 55.4%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.25

VGK: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	25	21	4	84.0%	3.46	4	-0.54
VGK	Adin Hill	25	24	1	96.0%	3.24	3	2.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs VGK: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	DET 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-11-04	VGK 1 - 0 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-22	VGK 6 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK
2025-03-16	DET 3 - 0 VGK	DET	VGK
2024-03-09	VGK 5 - 3 DET	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	15	0	0.99
1	VGK	8	1	0.70
2	DET	11	3	1.47
2	VGK	11	1	0.96
3	DET	14	0	0.78
3	VGK	15	2	1.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2