Chicago Blackhawks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-12-03 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 53.7%

CHI: 46.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.27

CHI: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

NYR

J. Halak

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	J. Halak	21	16	5	76.2%	2.92	2	-2.08
CHI	Petr Mrazek	28	26	2	92.9%	3.99	2	1.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs CHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	NYR 6 - 1 CHI	NYR	NYR
2025-12-10	CHI 3 - 0 NYR	CHI	NYR
2025-01-05	CHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	CHI
2024-12-09	NYR 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-02-09	CHI 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	1	1.14
1	CHI	7	0	0.39
2	NYR	18	1	1.75
2	CHI	10	0	0.35
3	NYR	17	0	1.10
3	CHI	10	2	2.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9