Arizona Coyotes at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-12-03 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Arizona Coyotes (OT)

Win Probability

VAN: 57.4%

ARI: 42.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 4.10

ARI: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

VAN

S. Martin

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	23	21	2	91.3%	2.19	0	0.19
ARI	K. Vejmelka	32	29	3	90.6%	4.41	2	1.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs ARI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-10	VAN 3 - 4 ARI	ARI	VAN
2024-04-03	ARI 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	ARI
2024-01-18	VAN 2 - 1 ARI	VAN	VAN
2023-04-13	ARI 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2023-03-16	ARI 3 - 2 VAN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	0	1.11
1	ARI	13	0	1.19
2	VAN	13	2	1.54
2	ARI	10	0	0.49
3	VAN	12	0	0.76
3	ARI	10	0	0.50
4	VAN	8	0	1.00
4	ARI	1	0	0.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 4.1 - 3.0