Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-12-03 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 51.5%

FLA: 48.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.02

FLA: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	28	23	5	82.1%	3.09	4	-1.91
FLA	Spencer Knight	36	35	1	97.2%	2.91	1	1.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • SEA at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	FLA 5 - 4 SEA	FLA	FLA
2026-03-15	SEA 6 - 2 FLA	SEA	FLA
2025-02-22	FLA 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	FLA
2024-12-10	SEA 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2023-12-12	SEA 4 - 0 FLA	SEA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	23	0	1.27
1	FLA	19	1	1.18
2	SEA	15	1	1.22
2	FLA	7	0	0.47
3	SEA	10	0	0.42
3	FLA	12	3	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1