Detroit Red Wings at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2022-12-04 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 65.5%
DET: 34.5%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.36
DET: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
J. Korpisalo
DET
Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | 0.892 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | 3.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | J. Korpisalo | 35 | 31 | 4 | 88.6% | 3.39 | 2 | -0.61 |
| DET | Ville Husso | 34 | 32 | 2 | 94.1% | 3.93 | 4 | 1.93 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CBJ at home vs DET: 3-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | DET 3 - 4 CBJ | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-12-04 | CBJ 6 - 5 DET | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2025-11-22 | DET 4 - 3 CBJ | DET | DET |
| 2025-03-01 | CBJ 5 - 3 DET | CBJ | DET |
| 2025-02-27 | DET 2 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | DET |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CBJ | 8 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 1 | DET | 17 | 0 | 1.25 |
| 2 | CBJ | 17 | 0 | 1.36 |
| 2 | DET | 13 | 1 | 1.12 |
| 3 | CBJ | 20 | 4 | 1.93 |
| 3 | DET | 14 | 1 | 1.02 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0
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