Chicago Blackhawks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-12-04 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

NYI: 68.3%

CHI: 31.7%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.83

CHI: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYI

Semyon Varlamov - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Semyon Varlamov	21	21	0	100.0%	2.20	0	2.20
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	40	37	3	92.5%	3.84	2	0.84

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs CHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	NYI 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	NYI
2025-12-30	CHI 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NYI
2024-12-15	CHI 5 - 3 NYI	CHI	NYI
2024-12-12	NYI 5 - 4 CHI	NYI	NYI
2024-04-02	NYI 2 - 1 CHI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	16	0	0.93
1	CHI	12	0	1.05
2	NYI	24	2	2.07
2	CHI	13	0	0.43
3	NYI	13	0	0.84
3	CHI	11	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.7