Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-12-06 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

WPG: 50.9%

FLA: 49.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.08

FLA: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 53%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	41	39	2	95.1%	3.04	1	1.04
FLA	Spencer Knight	31	26	5	83.9%	4.26	4	-0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • WPG at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	FLA 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	FLA
2026-01-22	WPG 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-19	WPG 6 - 3 FLA	WPG	FLA
2024-11-16	FLA 5 - 0 WPG	FLA	FLA
2023-11-24	FLA 0 - 3 WPG	WPG	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	25	1	1.86
1	FLA	11	0	0.82
2	WPG	10	1	1.01
2	FLA	32	1	1.65
3	WPG	15	2	1.40
3	FLA	13	0	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1