Boston Bruins at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-12-07 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 0 - 4 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

COL: 46.5%

BOS: 53.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 2.99

BOS: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	37	33	4	89.2%	2.95	1	-1.05
BOS	L. Ullmark	23	23	0	100.0%	0.94	0	0.94

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • COL at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-25	BOS 3 - 2 COL	BOS	COL
2025-10-18	COL 4 - 1 BOS	COL	COL
2025-01-25	BOS 3 - 1 COL	BOS	COL
2024-10-16	COL 3 - 5 BOS	BOS	COL
2024-01-18	BOS 5 - 2 COL	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	14	0	0.33
1	BOS	19	1	1.27
2	COL	9	0	0.34
2	BOS	15	0	0.71
3	COL	6	0	0.27
3	BOS	13	0	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 0 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.4