Arizona Coyotes at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-12-07 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 8 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

EDM: 65.6%

ARI: 34.4%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.54

ARI: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

ARI

C. Ingram - 24-24-0 | 0.907 SV% | 3.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	18	16	2	88.9%	1.97	0	-0.03
ARI	C. Ingram	35	27	8	77.1%	3.93	2	-4.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • EDM at home vs ARI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-04-17	ARI 5 - 2 EDM	ARI	EDM
2024-04-12	EDM 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	EDM
2024-02-19	ARI 3 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2023-03-27	ARI 4 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2023-03-22	EDM 4 - 3 ARI	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	17	0	1.26
1	ARI	9	0	0.64
2	EDM	20	2	2.01
2	ARI	7	0	0.51
3	EDM	8	0	0.66
3	ARI	10	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 8 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9