New York Rangers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2022-12-07 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 5 New York Rangers

Win Probability

VGK: 47.0%

NYR: 53.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.95

NYR: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

VGK

L. Thompson

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	L. Thompson	37	32	5	86.5%	2.64	2	-2.36
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	26	25	1	96.2%	2.61	2	1.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • VGK at home vs NYR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	NYR 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-11-18	VGK 3 - 2 NYR	VGK	VGK
2025-02-02	NYR 4 - 2 VGK	NYR	VGK
2025-01-11	VGK 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	VGK
2024-01-26	NYR 2 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	6	0	0.50
1	NYR	18	2	1.42
2	VGK	18	2	1.92
2	NYR	14	0	0.58
3	VGK	7	0	0.19
3	NYR	12	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 1 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3