Calgary Flames at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-12-09 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 49.4%

CGY: 50.6%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.86

CGY: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

CBJ

J. Korpisalo

CGY

J. Markstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	J. Korpisalo	32	31	1	96.9%	2.78	1	1.78
CGY	J. Markstrom	27	24	3	88.9%	3.75	1	0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CBJ at home vs CGY: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	CBJ 5 - 3 CGY	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-05	CGY 5 - 1 CBJ	CGY	CGY
2024-12-03	CGY 3 - 0 CBJ	CGY	CGY
2024-11-29	CBJ 5 - 2 CGY	CBJ	CBJ
2024-01-25	CGY 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	12	0	1.01
1	CGY	20	0	1.13
2	CBJ	13	0	0.86
2	CGY	12	0	0.53
3	CBJ	17	1	1.88
3	CGY	19	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3