Seattle Kraken at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2022-12-09 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

WSH: 51.6%

SEA: 48.4%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.04

SEA: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	26	25	1	96.2%	1.62	0	0.62
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	38	34	4	89.5%	5.62	5	1.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • WSH at home vs SEA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	SEA 5 - 1 WSH	SEA	WSH
2025-10-21	WSH 4 - 1 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-03-09	WSH 4 - 2 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-01-23	SEA 0 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-03-14	SEA 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	15	2	1.23
1	SEA	7	0	0.20
2	WSH	21	1	2.01
2	SEA	8	0	0.42
3	WSH	16	2	2.38
3	SEA	19	0	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1