Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-12-09 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

EDM: 57.2%

MIN: 42.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.36

MIN: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	44	42	2	95.5%	5.57	8	3.57
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	38	33	5	86.8%	4.63	4	-0.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs MIN: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	EDM 3 - 7 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-12-20	MIN 5 - 2 EDM	MIN	EDM
2025-12-02	EDM 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	EDM
2025-01-15	MIN 3 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-12	MIN 1 - 7 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	2	1.54
1	MIN	11	1	1.31
2	EDM	17	1	1.23
2	MIN	19	3	2.15
3	EDM	10	1	1.86
3	MIN	20	4	2.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9