Boston Bruins at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-12-09 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (65% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 35.2%

BOS: 64.8%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.20

BOS: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	46	43	3	93.5%	4.73	3	1.73
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	16	12	4	75.0%	2.07	0	-1.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • ARI at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-09	ARI 4 - 3 BOS	ARI	ARI
2023-12-09	BOS 5 - 3 ARI	BOS	BOS
2022-12-09	ARI 4 - 3 BOS	ARI	BOS
2022-10-15	BOS 6 - 3 ARI	BOS	BOS
2022-03-12	BOS 3 - 2 ARI	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	7	0	0.66
1	BOS	20	1	1.49
2	ARI	9	0	0.72
2	BOS	29	2	2.62
3	ARI	6	0	0.69
3	BOS	13	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.2 - 3.0