Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-12-10 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

NYI: 41.5%

CAR: 58.5%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.72

CAR: 3.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	29	26	3	89.7%	2.19	0	-0.81
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	16	16	0	100.0%	1.03	0	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • NYI at home vs CAR: 4-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYI	9	0.53
1	CAR	14	0.90
2	NYI	6	0.19
2	CAR	14	0.41
3	NYI	7	0.30
3	CAR	18	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 0 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.6