Seattle Kraken at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-12-11 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 53.5%

SEA: 46.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.20

SEA: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	32	27	5	84.4%	4.50	3	-0.50
SEA	M. Jones	25	23	2	92.0%	2.79	3	0.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • FLA at home vs SEA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	FLA 5 - 4 SEA	FLA	FLA
2026-03-15	SEA 6 - 2 FLA	SEA	FLA
2025-02-22	FLA 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	FLA
2024-12-10	SEA 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2023-12-12	SEA 4 - 0 FLA	SEA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	12	0	0.58
1	SEA	13	0	0.62
2	FLA	13	2	1.18
2	SEA	13	2	1.51
3	FLA	13	1	1.03
3	SEA	20	1	2.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9