New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-12-12 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 44.8%

NJD: 55.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.92

NJD: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	29	26	3	89.7%	3.59	0	0.59
NJD	V. Vanecek	23	19	4	82.6%	1.76	0	-2.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYR at home vs NJD: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NYR
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NYR	10	0.29
1	NJD	11	1.08
2	NYR	15	1.22
2	NJD	20	1.78
3	NYR	9	0.15
3	NJD	11	0.47
4	NYR	1	0.10
4	NJD	2	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4