Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-12-12 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

OTT: 66.5%

ANA: 33.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.58

ANA: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 54%

OTT

C. Talbot

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	C. Talbot	32	32	0	100.0%	2.77	2	2.77
ANA	Lukas Dostal	38	35	3	92.1%	4.03	2	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • OTT at home vs ANA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT
2024-03-06	ANA 2 - 1 OTT	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	19	1	1.31
1	ANA	6	0	0.39
2	OTT	20	1	1.24
2	ANA	14	1	0.88
3	OTT	16	0	1.49
3	ANA	18	1	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6