Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2022-12-13 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 7 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

TOR: 75.6%

ANA: 24.4%

Expected Goals

TOR: 4.08

ANA: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

TOR

I. Samsonov

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
TOR	I. Samsonov	28	28	0	100.0%	2.05	2	2.05
ANA	John Gibson	42	35	7	83.3%	4.59	2	-2.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs ANA: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	ANA 4 - 5 TOR	TOR	ANA
2026-03-12	TOR 6 - 4 ANA	TOR	TOR
2025-03-30	ANA 2 - 3 TOR	TOR	ANA
2024-12-12	TOR 3 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR
2024-02-17	TOR 9 - 2 ANA	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	20	1	1.71
1	ANA	22	1	1.35
2	TOR	20	1	1.77
2	ANA	9	1	0.56
3	TOR	18	0	1.11
3	ANA	9	0	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 7 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.1 - 2.6