Columbus Blue Jackets at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2022-12-13 • FLA Live Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 59.6%
CBJ: 40.4%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.61
CBJ: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA
CBJ
Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA
| Stat | FLA | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.877 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | 4.04 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | Sergei Bobrovsky | 22 | 22 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.03 | 0 | 2.03 |
| CBJ | Elvis Merzlikins | 26 | 22 | 4 | 84.6% | 3.02 | 2 | -0.98 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs CBJ: 7-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | FLA 2 - 1 CBJ | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-05 | CBJ 4 - 2 FLA | CBJ | FLA |
| 2025-12-06 | FLA 7 - 6 CBJ | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-20 | CBJ 0 - 1 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-06 | FLA 3 - 0 CBJ | FLA | FLA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FLA | 17 | 1 | 1.00 |
| 1 | CBJ | 13 | 0 | 0.92 |
| 2 | FLA | 12 | 0 | 0.88 |
| 2 | CBJ | 16 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 3 | FLA | 14 | 1 | 1.14 |
| 3 | CBJ | 7 | 0 | 0.49 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 0 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.6 - 2.7
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