Carolina Hurricanes at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-12-13 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

DET: 48.8%

CAR: 51.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.97

CAR: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	27	26	1	96.3%	2.68	0	1.68
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	27	27	0	100.0%	1.81	1	1.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs CAR: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	11	0	0.43
1	CAR	14	0	1.22
2	DET	19	1	1.03
2	CAR	7	0	0.20
3	DET	10	0	0.34
3	CAR	18	0	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 0 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0