Detroit Red Wings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-12-14 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

MIN: 67.9%

DET: 32.1%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.22

DET: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

DET

M. Hellberg

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	17	16	1	94.1%	1.95	3	0.95
DET	M. Hellberg	22	18	4	81.8%	2.96	2	-1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • MIN at home vs DET: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	DET 4 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-22	MIN 4 - 3 DET	MIN	MIN
2025-02-25	MIN 2 - 3 DET	DET	MIN
2025-02-22	DET 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	DET
2023-12-27	MIN 6 - 3 DET	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	0	0.73
1	DET	4	0	0.18
2	MIN	14	0	0.90
2	DET	15	2	0.92
3	MIN	7	2	1.33
3	DET	14	1	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1