Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-12-17 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

DET: 44.0%

OTT: 56.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.15

OTT: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

OTT

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	28	22	6	78.6%	3.52	1	-2.48
OTT	C. Talbot	32	29	3	90.6%	2.61	1	-0.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DET at home vs OTT: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	DET 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	DET
2026-02-26	OTT 1 - 2 DET	DET	OTT
2026-01-18	DET 4 - 3 OTT	DET	DET
2026-01-05	OTT 3 - 5 DET	DET	OTT
2025-03-27	DET 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	0	0.61
1	OTT	11	0	0.67
2	DET	10	0	0.53
2	OTT	15	0	1.43
3	DET	18	1	1.47
3	OTT	11	1	1.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 6 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1