Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-12-17 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 58.2%

FLA: 41.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.43

FLA: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

NJD

A. Schmid

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	A. Schmid	29	25	4	86.2%	3.33	2	-0.67
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	32	30	2	93.8%	2.99	3	0.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NJD at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	0.57
1	FLA	16	0	1.40
2	NJD	17	1	1.16
2	FLA	6	0	0.24
3	NJD	19	2	1.26
3	FLA	14	2	1.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0