Nashville Predators at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-12-17 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

COL: 58.0%

NSH: 42.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.06

NSH: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

COL

Alexandar Georgiev - 38-18-5 | 0.897 SV% | 3.02 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Alexandar Georgiev	26	25	1	96.2%	1.71	0	0.71
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	27	3	90.0%	3.62	2	0.62

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 52% • COL at home vs NSH: 9-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	COL 3 - 7 NSH	NSH	COL
2025-12-13	COL 4 - 2 NSH	COL	COL
2025-12-09	NSH 4 - 3 COL	NSH	COL
2025-11-22	NSH 0 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-22	NSH 2 - 1 COL	NSH	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	12	0	0.78
1	NSH	13	0	0.55
2	COL	18	1	1.43
2	NSH	10	0	0.49
3	COL	15	1	1.41
3	NSH	13	0	0.67

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0