Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-12-17 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

VAN: 44.3%

WPG: 55.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.00

WPG: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

VAN

S. Martin

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	27	22	5	81.5%	2.44	1	-2.56
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	23	22	1	95.7%	1.76	0	0.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • VAN at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	6	0	0.37
1	WPG	11	1	0.94
2	VAN	12	0	0.52
2	WPG	15	0	0.66
3	VAN	13	0	0.87
3	WPG	10	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3