San Jose Sharks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2022-12-17 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 53.3%
SJS: 46.7%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.24
SJS: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Pheonix Copley - 0-0-0 | 0.833 SV% | 4.37 GAA
SJS
J. Reimer
| Stat | LAK | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.833 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 4.37 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | Pheonix Copley | 28 | 25 | 3 | 89.3% | 4.26 | 5 | 1.26 |
| SJS | J. Reimer | 44 | 40 | 4 | 90.9% | 5.41 | 3 | 1.41 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • LAK at home vs SJS: 6-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-07 | LAK 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | LAK |
| 2025-11-20 | SJS 4 - 3 LAK | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-10-28 | SJS 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-30 | LAK 8 - 1 SJS | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-11-25 | SJS 7 - 2 LAK | SJS | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 14 | 1 | 1.06 |
| 1 | SJS | 8 | 2 | 0.78 |
| 2 | LAK | 19 | 0 | 1.20 |
| 2 | SJS | 17 | 2 | 1.62 |
| 3 | LAK | 9 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 3 | SJS | 9 | 0 | 0.53 |
| 4 | LAK | 8 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 4 | SJS | 2 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 5 | LAK | 4 | 2 | 1.98 |
| 5 | SJS | 4 | 1 | 1.15 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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