Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-12-18 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

CAR: 52.7%

PIT: 47.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.95

PIT: 2.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

PIT

C. DeSmith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	25	23	2	92.0%	3.05	2	1.05
PIT	C. DeSmith	29	26	3	89.7%	2.22	0	-0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CAR at home vs PIT: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	9	0	0.55
1	PIT	18	0	1.18
2	CAR	15	0	0.91
2	PIT	10	0	0.60
3	CAR	14	0	0.76
3	PIT	14	2	1.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 2.9 - 2.5