New York Rangers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-12-18 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 7 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 61.5%

NYR: 38.5%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.19

NYR: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	26	19	7	73.1%	3.01	1	-3.99
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	30	29	1	96.7%	2.56	2	1.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-27	NYR 6 - 1 CHI	NYR	NYR
2025-12-10	CHI 3 - 0 NYR	CHI	NYR
2025-01-05	CHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	CHI
2024-12-09	NYR 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-02-09	CHI 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	2	0.89
1	NYR	10	0	0.72
2	CHI	12	0	0.93
2	NYR	14	0	0.90
3	CHI	16	0	0.74
3	NYR	14	1	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 7 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1