Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-12-18 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

SEA: 62.2%

WPG: 37.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.16

WPG: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

WPG

D. Rittich

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	17	15	2	88.2%	1.64	2	-0.36
WPG	D. Rittich	34	31	3	91.2%	3.40	1	0.40

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • SEA at home vs WPG: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.83
1	WPG	5	0	0.41
2	SEA	18	0	0.92
2	WPG	17	2	1.03
3	SEA	16	1	1.66
3	WPG	3	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1