Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2022-12-19 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

Win Probability

WSH: 55.1%

DET: 44.9%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.04

DET: 3.10

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	19	16	3	84.2%	1.77	1	-1.23
DET	Ville Husso	42	38	4	90.5%	3.47	0	-0.53

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WSH at home vs DET: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	DET 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-12-21	DET 3 - 2 WSH	DET	DET
2025-12-20	WSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-03-18	WSH 4 - 1 DET	WSH	WSH
2025-03-07	WSH 5 - 2 DET	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	13	0	0.80
1	DET	9	1	0.79
2	WSH	25	0	1.58
2	DET	9	0	0.43
3	WSH	19	0	0.87
3	DET	8	0	0.35
4	WSH	3	0	0.22
4	DET	2	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1