Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-12-19 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 7 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BOS: 58.7%

FLA: 41.3%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.39

FLA: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

BOS

L. Ullmark

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	39	36	3	92.3%	3.03	2	0.03
FLA	Spencer Knight	26	19	7	73.1%	2.65	0	-4.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • BOS at home vs FLA: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	0	1.03
1	FLA	10	0	0.41
2	BOS	14	0	1.02
2	FLA	24	1	1.44
3	BOS	9	0	0.60
3	FLA	17	1	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 7 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.4 - 2.9