Edmonton Oilers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-12-19 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 46.4%

EDM: 53.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.99

EDM: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	30	3	90.9%	3.70	2	0.70
EDM	Jack Campbell	35	31	4	88.6%	3.19	3	-0.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NSH at home vs EDM: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	EDM 3 - 1 NSH	EDM	EDM
2026-01-13	NSH 4 - 3 EDM	NSH	NSH
2026-01-06	EDM 6 - 2 NSH	EDM	NSH
2024-11-14	EDM 3 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-10-31	NSH 1 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	1	1.02
1	EDM	13	0	1.07
2	NSH	14	1	1.05
2	EDM	19	1	1.91
3	NSH	16	1	1.01
3	EDM	7	0	0.41
4	NSH	2	0	0.12
4	EDM	3	1	0.31

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1