Montreal Canadiens at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-12-19 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

Win Probability

ARI: 43.4%

MTL: 56.6%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.07

MTL: 3.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	26	23	3	88.5%	2.69	1	-0.31
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	39	37	2	94.9%	3.90	1	1.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs MTL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-27	MTL 4 - 2 ARI	MTL	MTL
2023-11-02	ARI 3 - 2 MTL	ARI	ARI
2022-12-19	ARI 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2022-10-20	MTL 6 - 2 ARI	MTL	MTL
2022-03-15	MTL 3 - 6 ARI	ARI	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	24	1	2.41
1	MTL	9	0	0.51
2	ARI	17	0	1.05
2	MTL	15	0	0.87
3	ARI	10	0	0.45
3	MTL	12	1	1.06
4	ARI	0	0	0.00
4	MTL	2	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.1 - 3.6