St. Louis Blues at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-12-19 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

VAN: 47.1%

STL: 52.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.19

STL: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

VAN

S. Martin

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	27	22	5	81.5%	3.40	2	-1.60
STL	Jordan Binnington	34	33	1	97.1%	3.72	1	2.72

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs STL: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	VAN 1 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2025-10-30	STL 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	STL
2025-10-13	VAN 2 - 5 STL	STL	VAN
2025-03-20	STL 4 - 3 VAN	STL	STL
2025-01-27	STL 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	0	1.21
1	STL	20	1	1.55
2	VAN	13	1	1.25
2	STL	12	1	1.25
3	VAN	19	0	1.26
3	STL	8	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2