New Jersey Devils at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-12-20 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 48.5%

NJD: 51.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.80

NJD: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

NJD

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	38	37	1	97.4%	4.36	3	3.36
NJD	V. Vanecek	20	16	4	80.0%	2.85	4	-1.15

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 72% • CAR at home vs NJD: 15-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	CAR 5 - 2 NJD	CAR	CAR
2026-01-17	NJD 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-04	NJD 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-10-09	CAR 6 - 3 NJD	CAR	CAR
2025-04-29	CAR 5 - 4 NJD	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	10	2	0.76
1	NJD	18	2	1.78
2	CAR	12	1	0.90
2	NJD	19	0	1.43
3	CAR	10	1	1.19
3	NJD	17	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.8 - 3.6