St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-12-20 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

SEA: 64.9%

STL: 35.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.17

STL: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

SEA

M. Jones

STL

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	24	22	2	91.7%	2.85	1	0.85
STL	T. Greiss	33	28	5	84.8%	4.23	1	-0.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs STL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	SEA 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2026-02-26	STL 5 - 1 SEA	STL	STL
2025-11-08	STL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	STL
2025-04-12	SEA 4 - 3 STL	SEA	STL
2025-02-25	STL 7 - 2 SEA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	17	0	1.14
1	STL	12	0	0.75
2	SEA	22	0	1.50
2	STL	16	1	1.20
3	SEA	11	1	1.59
3	STL	15	0	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7