Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-12-21 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

ANA: 28.9%

MIN: 71.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.50

MIN: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	42	38	4	90.5%	4.68	1	0.68
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	22	21	1	95.5%	2.05	0	1.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • ANA at home vs MIN: 0-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	ANA
2026-01-02	ANA 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-11-15	MIN 2 - 0 ANA	MIN	MIN
2025-04-15	MIN 3 - 2 ANA	MIN	MIN
2024-12-06	ANA 1 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	8	0	0.35
1	MIN	20	0	1.02
2	ANA	16	0	0.99
2	MIN	19	0	1.24
3	ANA	11	0	0.71
3	MIN	21	1	2.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.5 - 3.3