Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2022-12-22 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

PIT: 45.4%

CAR: 54.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 2.62

CAR: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Tristan Jarry	36	32	4	88.9%	3.67	2	-0.33
CAR	A. Raanta	27	24	3	88.9%	2.79	1	-0.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • PIT at home vs CAR: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	1	1.06
1	CAR	11	0	0.50
2	PIT	11	0	0.84
2	CAR	16	0	1.15
3	PIT	16	0	0.89
3	CAR	22	2	1.85
4	PIT	0	0	0.00
4	CAR	1	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.3