Seattle Kraken at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2022-12-22 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 5 Seattle Kraken (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 49.8%

SEA: 50.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.15

SEA: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

VAN

S. Martin

SEA

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	S. Martin	39	33	6	84.6%	4.05	2	-1.95
SEA	M. Jones	40	33	7	82.5%	6.33	3	-0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • VAN at home vs SEA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	VAN 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2026-02-28	SEA 5 - 1 VAN	SEA	SEA
2026-01-02	VAN 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	VAN
2025-12-29	SEA 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-04-02	VAN 0 - 5 SEA	SEA	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	14	0	1.21
1	SEA	12	0	0.70
2	VAN	18	0	1.07
2	SEA	18	1	1.60
3	VAN	20	1	1.85
3	SEA	17	0	0.63
4	VAN	5	0	0.31
4	SEA	2	0	0.08
5	VAN	3	2	1.88
5	SEA	3	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2