Minnesota Wild at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-12-22 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

SJS: 60.6%

MIN: 39.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.98

MIN: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

SJS

J. Reimer

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	26	24	2	92.3%	2.42	0	0.42
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	25	20	5	80.0%	2.78	1	-2.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs MIN: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	0	0.82
1	MIN	13	0	0.97
2	SJS	15	0	1.17
2	MIN	10	0	0.50
3	SJS	7	1	0.79
3	MIN	21	0	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2