Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-12-23 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 66.6%

BOS: 33.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.32

BOS: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 48%

NJD

M. Blackwood

BOS

L. Ullmark

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	23	19	4	82.6%	1.91	3	-2.09
BOS	L. Ullmark	40	37	3	92.5%	2.90	3	-0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs BOS: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	1	0.46
1	BOS	7	1	0.45
2	NJD	17	1	1.31
2	BOS	14	2	1.30
3	NJD	18	1	1.13
3	BOS	7	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1