Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-12-23 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 71.1%

VAN: 28.9%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.71

VAN: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

VAN

C. Delia

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	30	25	5	83.3%	4.29	3	-0.71
VAN	C. Delia	33	31	2	93.9%	4.21	1	2.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs VAN: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	1	1.62
1	VAN	12	0	0.31
2	EDM	19	0	1.72
2	VAN	17	0	1.73
3	EDM	10	0	0.87
3	VAN	15	3	2.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.7