Los Angeles Kings at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-12-23 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings (SO)

Win Probability

ARI: 53.9%

LAK: 46.1%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.90

LAK: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 47%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	29	28	1	96.6%	2.86	1	1.86
LAK	J. Quick	26	24	2	92.3%	3.69	2	1.69

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • ARI at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-11-20	ARI 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-27	ARI 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-24	LAK 6 - 3 ARI	LAK	LAK
2023-02-18	LAK 6 - 5 ARI	LAK	ARI
2022-12-23	ARI 2 - 1 LAK	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	15	1	1.55
1	LAK	9	1	0.58
2	ARI	8	0	0.48
2	LAK	20	0	1.43
3	ARI	7	0	0.29
3	LAK	8	0	0.51
4	ARI	6	0	0.39
4	LAK	3	0	0.12
5	ARI	3	1	0.99
5	LAK	3	0	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4